Category Archives: GE

28Apr/14

042814 – CGI Morning Market Commentary: Alstom/GE or Alstom/Siemens?

We see better medium to long-term value creation in the Siemens proposal than in the GE possibility, both for Alstom, and also for either of the other two possible winners. This proposal is an unique opportunity to create two strong European Champions with global leadership aspiration in the fields of energy and transport, providing for a compelling industrial story while protecting the interests of both groups’ shareholders, employees, respective home countries France and Germany and ultimately the European interests as well. We do believe that Siemens is the most suited partner for Alstom, and clearly the favorite over GE, if any, however, there will be serious “antitrust” issues affecting any potential transaction, and we are advising for investors to rather focus on Siemens as an investment opportunity, rather than on any potential merger benefits, as we see little likelihood of neither takeover bids materializing.

13Feb/13

Morning Market Commentary – No sell signals yet NDX;AAPL;Currency Musings;Global Automakers

We continue to see one good investment solution to the problem of global currency wars:  Investors should continue to buy Gold.

We have been recommending for 3 years to “sell/short” the French OEM’s and also Fiat, in Italy, which in retrospect clearly was an alpha generating call for investors over the entire time period.

Given recent macro-dynamic changes, in monetary policies, impacting currency markets around the world, namely the Yen weakening substantially versus most currencies, particularly the US$, the EURO, but also mostly against the Korean Won, we have become bullish in September 2012 on Japanese stocks, calling for a major rise in the Nikkei, and implicitly seeing a bullish case in favor of Japanese car companies.

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