Morning Market Commentary & Weekly Charts

Treasury bond prices are vulnerable to further technically corrective declines, particularly given that we are in the midst of the period of seasonal weakness for the asset class; negative seasonal tendencies persist through April. However, over the past 30 years, each time the long-term treasury bond has met up with this rising level of resistance, stocks have generally performed well in the months and years that have followed. However, we continue to advise investors to trade bonds according to their long-term trend channel dynamics. We see nothing fundamentally having changed over the past 2 months for that trend to change.

020915 CGI Morning Market Commentary & Weekly Charts